Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.276113 0.321783 0.372349 0.432447 0.501891 0.579578 0.673051
2025-03-23 0.211669 0.275950 0.355038 0.459297 0.592937 0.758302 0.978299
2025-03-30 0.162746 0.230156 0.319661 0.446784 0.622272 0.855546 1.188742
2025-04-06 0.129682 0.196111 0.290010 0.431762 0.639622 0.932448 1.375413
2025-04-13 0.106117 0.170157 0.265751 0.417914 0.653010 1.001206 1.554565
2025-04-20 0.092335 0.155984 0.255714 0.422089 0.691279 1.107924 1.799362
2025-04-27 0.085057 0.150615 0.257917 0.444638 0.759487 1.266349 2.140591
2025-05-04 0.077285 0.143021 0.255094 0.457937 0.813369 1.406819 2.467617
2025-05-11 0.069348 0.133809 0.248029 0.462579 0.852368 1.525860 2.770702
2025-05-18 0.061633 0.123762 0.237971 0.460206 0.878049 1.623794 3.046450
2025-05-25 0.054558 0.113829 0.226690 0.453841 0.895133 1.707404 3.304219
2025-06-01 0.048802 0.105617 0.217496 0.450030 0.916053 1.799312 3.585778
2025-06-08 0.042167 0.094784 0.202061 0.432554 0.909526 1.841135 3.781199
2025-06-15 0.040826 0.094985 0.208938 0.461246 0.998688 2.077246 4.383110
2025-06-22 0.035935 0.086653 0.196919 0.448782 1.001581 2.142439 4.648444
2025-06-29 0.031493 0.078648 0.184491 0.433700 0.996821 2.190961 4.883721
2025-07-06 0.027723 0.071631 0.173290 0.419793 0.992704 2.239879 5.124292
2025-07-13 0.025628 0.068358 0.170194 0.423987 1.029480 2.380047 5.577677
2025-07-20 0.024871 0.068327 0.174708 0.446633 1.111264 2.627378 6.295317
2025-07-27 0.023604 0.066788 0.175362 0.459990 1.172585 2.834701 6.942841
2025-08-03 0.021978 0.064044 0.172663 0.464652 1.213334 2.998614 7.505729
2025-08-10 0.020166 0.060510 0.167475 0.462269 1.236224 3.122497 7.985330
2025-08-17 0.018356 0.056701 0.161067 0.455876 1.248155 3.221114 8.413429